Double-Dip Recession

I read from CNN that the crisis that we are having today is chillingly close to 1929 economic crash. There are so many similarities. 

Continuous financial and economic shocks causes the market to nose dive. Fortunately there are some good indicators that help uplift the bloodied market. Good US job numbers and company profits put positive tone to PSE. Almost all of the stocks that I put on my watch list are green and smiling. This make me think, are we going to experience double-dip recession? The index today says no.

***

I am on the watch mode today. I am planning to sell two of my holdings to transfer the fund to BEL :-). I will be holding this stock until next year (remember casino?). I think the price now is a good entry point.

As I am checking BEL, I found out that it has also some interests in APC which did not have a good quarter and LOTO (I am still verifying this).

***

Warren Buffet is buying - why fear? 

S&P Downgrade US Credit Rating to AA+

S&P downgraded US credit rating to AA+ which affected global stock market. Atleast, the good news is Moody's and Fitch still rates US as AAA. Moody's on the other hand lowered its outlook on US debt to "negative" which means it can lower its rating in a year or two.
What's the difference between AA+ and AAA? Almost nothing :-)
Now US government are saying that S&P made a mistake in downgrading its credit rating. So far, S&P is winning as reaction put pressure on investor to sell. But it is too early to know where this current crisis will bring us.

***

According to the news, Wall Street already knows about the US credit rating downgrade even before its announcement. They don't want surprises - lucky guys. They also blaming Timothy Geithner for the crisis and Timothy's answer is - "I will resign after the debt ceiling is over".

***

This is the time that we need strong stomach. Prices are down. PSE is in the red zone. Of course, if you were able to get out before the US rating downgrade - you will be smiling by now. 

Maybe a day or two would be a good time to buy. Although double dip recession is now flying around - but take it from Warren Buffet - he doesn't believe there will be a crisis in the near future.

***

Another good news is the plan of European Central Bank (ECB) to buy bonds. This will ease pressure to Spain and Italy which now pulling down European Union's growth. Although EU is very slow on reacting to crisis - still this is a good step on their part. Maybe they should start learning from still frightening global economic situation.

Debt Ceiling and Gold

Debt ceiling - now that US congress voted on it what's next? Expert says that investors would start looking at other economic catalyst such as job reports. The news is grim. Looks like we will have a 'ghostly' August.
I like what one of the US congressmen said - 'white house is systematically broken'. Maybe Obama tend to loose control when pressure on him is on the level which other presidents handled perfectly (or not so perfect). But the end result of the impasse on debt ceiling made the Chinese happy as they bought most of the US debts.

Gold, gold, gold - I made some coffee money in MA. Better than nothing. I bough some PNB, SLI, LIB and BEL stocks. Of course, I still have my MP-Ayyy...