Thursday, May 18, 2017

PSEi Correction

Traders are now cashing in on their gains after PSE punched through 8K. That's include me :-). Sold 50% of my DMC stocks which gained some coffee money but I already received the 48 cents dividend. Waiting for this stock to go back to 10 Pesos level. 

The government did not accept the EU grant of almost 280 million Euro. I am not sure if that is a good idea as the money can be used to fund basic services which will benefit the poor. But if the government can generate more money by going after big tax evaders, then I don't think we will need help from other country.

Reading 'My Family's Slave' by Alex Tizon. A Pulitzer prize-winning journalist and the author of Big Little Man: In Search of My Asian Self. The story revolve around the family's house helper (they call her Lola) and his family. I think most of Filipinos can relate to this story as most of us knows a house helper or have one. But I think Alex family treatment of 'Lola' is more of a slave rather that part of the family. Some commented that somehow the author contributed to this treatment which I agree. If you what to read more about this story, you can check this site - https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/06/lolas-story/524490/.




Friday, May 5, 2017

8K and Beyond...

Is the sell in May and go away not true anymore? Are you seeing 8K in the horizon? Is the PSE behaving like an unpredictable mother nature? Are we going to see diversion to normal cycle where the weak hands prevail in May? Should we stay instead of going away? Surely we will know next week.

There a lot of going on in terms of economic development. There are a lot of infrastructure building along major highways in Metro Manila. Although, airport construction in Davao might not push through but most of the earmarked projects seems to be going as planned. 

Some people who helped the president during election is getting some good share of the opportunities. Dennis Uy gets provisional license to build resort casino in Cebu worth 341M USD. He currently owns a petroleum, shipping, logistics and real estate companies. He has a lot going on with his life right now and he is younger that me! Damn, I would be very happy if I own just a gasoline station!


MRGSI - not sure why the stock price still below 4? Is it because the management is not taking advantage of its growth potential? I think it should emulate what Double Dragon (DD) is doing in terms of growing up its business. A bit of aggressiveness and couple of press releases would encourage investors to take a second look on how this company is doing. I think it is time for MRSGI not only to expand its leasable space but to start building up online infrastructure like Ayala.

I read one good analysis from one of the stock trader's facebook group. He thought that physical store such as Metro would eventually fold to online store. If we could have something similar to Amazon, then eventually people would shop online instead of going to a physical store. But that would be a couple of years from now to become a reality. But if trader's are going long for the stock, then, having a 10 or 20 years vision would definitely help.  
Maybe MRSGI need a little prodding right now.

DMCI - I should be getting 48 cents dividend from BPITrade. I checked and still not credited in my account. I hope next week I would see increase in my available balance :-).



Tuesday, May 2, 2017

DENR, Yoga, Face Reading and CA

I watched the CA hearing of DENR sec. Gina Lopez. It was entertaining to say the least. This is one of the CA hearings that I believe watched by many Filipinos. Gina Lopez is passionate about her environmental advocacy. She made her case in a passionate yet bordering to somehow unbelievable theory of environmental tourism. But who am I to judge her? She knows her stuffs. She has loads of people to help her understand the technicalities of managing the constitutional mandate of her office. She has people who works in a legal profession. Lawyers that one or another has vested interest be it bad or good.

Sometimes over simplifying things would not sit well to Lawyer like sen. Allan Cayetano and cong. Josephine Sato. They are expert in making simple things complicated in the guise of laws. They win by making you look stupid because you can only understand simple things. When you say social justice they will ask you to quote some articles in the constitution or they will beat you to pieces by saying words only 'Aristotle' would understand. But they would not be in politics if they cannot even confuse a Yoga practitioner, right?

I believed Senator Manny Pacquiao when he said the chance of Secretary Gina being confirm is 50-50. But that is a good thing for the Secretary, she only has to sway only 1 vote. Who knows Manny will make good of his promise to let Gina Lopez passed.

I don't know what mining firms are feeling right now. But based on the price of mining stocks, they seem to be seeing some light at the end of the tunnel. Most of them are green. Some even jump 6% from their price before the hearing. Are they seeing the end of the Yoga student? Maybe, but we would know today.

Monday, May 1, 2017

ABS-CBN Woes

If I remember it correctly, a TV personality told the viewers that 'it is better to have an abusive media rather that abusive government'. I might not agree with what he said but there is a time in our history that you would not pick the latter. 

ABS-CBN franchise would expire in 2020. Congress has enough time to discuss and decide whether to extend the franchise to another 25 years. There is a pending bill in congress (House Bill 4349) that was filed November of 2016 to give ABS a new breathe of life. But the fight with the President might be a big hurdle. Swindling is a serious crime specially if you are a company that are tasked to condemn it. It is much more serious when the President charged you as such.

No lawsuit has been filed yet, so, it is a battle of words for now. As the President is in the other end of the rope, surely, the effect would be felt by ABS investors. I think its share price would be going south for a couple of months. If I am holding ABS share I would be a little bit shaking right now. 

But I think, media giant like ABS would not just sit down and let the ball roll to them. They still have 3 years to bridge the gap with the President. They might get some tongue lashing, some shocking words from him but that would be ignorable compare to the the one thing they need from the President and the congress. 

It is really an exciting time for the country as the President is really bent on doing what he promised during the campaign.